Publications
[7]
Historical pattern effects and climate sensitivity revisited
with novel constraints on past warming patterns.
Cooper, V., K. Armour, and G. Hakim. In prep.
[6]
Paleoclimate pattern effects help constrain climate sensitivity
and 21st-century warming (2026).
Cooper, V., K. Armour, G. Hakim, J. Tierney, N. Burls, C. Proistosescu, T. Andrews, W. Dong,
M. Dvorak, R. Feng, M. Osman, Y. Dong. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2511370123.
[Open-access version of PDF incl. SI]
[5]
Monthly Sea Surface Temperature, Sea Ice, and Sea Level Pressure over
1850–2023 from Coupled Data Assimilation (2025).
Cooper, V., G. Hakim, and K. Armour.
Journal of Climate.
doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0021.1.
[PDF]
[SI]
[Link to dataset on Zenodo]
[4]
Mid-Pliocene climate forcing, sea-surface temperature patterns,
and implications for modern-day climate sensitivity (2025).
Dvorak, M., K. Armour, R. Feng, V. Cooper, J. Zhu, N. Burls, and C. Proistosescu.
Journal of Climate.
doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0410.1.
[PDF]
[3]
Pliocene warmth and patterns of climate change inferred from paleoclimate data assimilation (2025).
Tierney, J., J. King, M. Osman, J. Abell, N. Burls, E. Erfani, V. Cooper, R. Feng.
AGU Advances.
doi.org/10.1029/2024AV001356.
[PDF]
[Supplement]
[2]
Last Glacial Maximum pattern effects reduce climate sensitivity estimates (2024).
Cooper, V., K. Armour, G. Hakim, J. Tierney, M. Osman, C. Proistosescu, Y. Dong, N. Burls, T. Andrews,
D. Amrhein, J. Zhu, W. Dong, Y. Ming, and P. Chmielowiec.
Science Advances.
doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adk9461.
[PDF]
[PDF with SI]
- Carbon Brief: Ice-age analysis suggests worst-case global warming is less likely (invited article)
- Phys.org
- The National (UK)
- UW News
[1]
Wind waves in sea ice of the western Arctic and a global coupled wave-ice model (2022).
Cooper, V., L. Roach, J. Thomson, S. Brenner, M. Smith, M. Meylan, and C. Bitz.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences.
doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2021.0258.
Dissertation
[6]
Paleoclimate and Historical Perspectives on Modern Climate Sensitivity.
Cooper, V. Department of Atmospheric and Climate Science, University of Washington.
ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, No. 32115188. ISBN: 9798288833878.
[URL].
[PDF]
Presentations
2026
Paleoclimate pattern effects in the Pliocene lead to stronger constraints on climate sensitivity to carbon dioxide.
Radiative Feedbacks over the Historical Record: Insights from a New Reconstruction of Sea-Surface Temperature and Sea Ice.
Paleoclimate and Historical Perspectives on Modern Climate Sensitivity.
Paleoclimate Pattern Effects Help Constrain Modern Climate Sensitivity.
Paleoclimate Pattern Effects Help Constrain Modern Climate Sensitivity.
Paleoclimate and Historical Perspectives on Modern Climate Sensitivity.
Paleoclimate and Historical Perspectives on Modern Climate Sensitivity.
The Last Glacial Maximum Pattern Effect.
Historical Pattern Effects and Climate Sensitivity Revisited with Novel Constraints on Past Warming Patterns.
Paleoclimate Pattern Effects Lead to Stronger Constraints on Modern-day Climate Sensitivity.
Climate Forcings and Feedbacks from Paleo to Pinatubo.
Paleoclimate pattern effects for PMIP/CMIP7: Last Glacial Maximum and Pliocene.
Overview of Paleoclimate Pattern Effects and Constraints on Modern-day Climate Sensitivity.
Paleoclimate Pattern Effects and Revised Estimates of Modern-day Climate Sensitivity.
Paleoclimate Pattern Effects and Revised Estimates of Modern-day Climate Sensitivity.
Pliocene Pattern Effects and Constraints on Climate Sensitivity.
Variability in Sea-Surface Temperature and Sea Ice Patterns from Coupled Data Assimilation, 1850–present.
Last Glacial Maximum pattern effects reduce climate sensitivity estimates.
The Sea Surface Temperature Pattern Effect in the Last Glacial Maximum
Reduces Climate Sensitivity Estimates.
The Last Glacial Maximum Sea Surface Temperature Pattern Effect.
Wind waves in sea ice of the western Arctic and a global coupled wave-ice model.
The Last Glacial Maximum Pattern Effect.
Wind waves in sea ice and a global coupled wave-ice model.
Waves in the Marginal Ice Zone: Insights from Observations and Modeling.
Towards Validating Wave-Ice Interactions in Climate Models Using In Situ Observations.
NSF COLDEX Seminar Series (February 2026). Talk.
2025
AGU Fall Meeting (December 2025). Talk.
WHOI Climate & Paleo Seminar (October 2025). Invited Talk.
Comer Climate Conference (September 2025).
Program on Climate Change Summer Institute at Friday Harbor Labs (September 2025). Invited Talk.
University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences Seminar (May 2025).
Invited Talk.
Caltech ESE Seminar (April 2025).
Invited talk.
NOAA GFDL Climate Sensitivity Seminar (January 2025).
Invited talk.
2024
AGU Fall Meeting (December 2024). Received OSPA (Outstanding Student Presentation Award).
AGU Fall Meeting (December 2024).
Invited talk.
Harvard EPS Seminar (December 2024).
Invited talk.
PMIP WINGS Seminar (November 2024).
Invited talk.
NSF workshop on climate evolution from early Eocene to mid-Pliocene (August 2024).
Invited talk.
CFMIP/CLIVAR Conference on Clouds, Circulation, and Climate (June 2024).
Talk. Received CFMIP Early Career Scientist Award.
CESM Paleoclimate Working Group Meeting (February 2024).
Talk.
2023
Cooper, V., K. Armour, G. Hakim, J. Tierney, N. Burls, C. Proistosescu,
M. Dvorak, Y. Dong, T. Andrews, J. Zhu, J. King, M. Osman, W. Dong, and Y. Ming.
AGU Fall Meeting (December 2023).
Talk.
Cooper, V., G. Hakim, and K. Armour.
AGU Fall Meeting (December 2023).
Poster. Received OSPA (Outstanding Student Presentation Award).
[Download Poster PDF]
Cooper, V., K. Armour, G. Hakim, J. Tierney, M. Osman, C. Proistosescu, Y. Dong,
N. Burls, T. Andrews, D. Amrhein, J. Zhu, W. Dong, Y. Ming, and P. Chmielowiec.
ECS & Cloud Feedback Symposium (October 2023).
Invited talk. [Recording available]
2022
Cooper, V., K. Armour, C. Proistosescu, Y. Dong, G. Hakim, J. Tierney,
M. Osman, N. Burls, D. Amrhein, T. Andrews, Y. Ming, W. Dong, and P. Chmielowiec.
AGU Fall Meeting (December 2022).
Talk.
Cooper, V., K. Armour, C. Proistosescu, P. Chmielowiec, J. Tierney, M. Osman, Y. Dong, G. Hakim, D. Amrhein, N. Burls, and S. Knapp.
CFMIP (June 2022).
Poster. [Download Poster]
Cooper, V., Roach, L., Thomson, J., Brenner, S., Smith, M., Meylan, M., and C. Bitz.
National Defense Science & Engineering Graduate Fellowship Conference (July 2022).
Poster. [Download Poster]
Cooper, V., K. Armour, C. Proistosescu, P. Chmielowiec,
J. Tierney, M. Osman, Y. Dong, G. Hakim, D. Amrhein, N. Burls, and S. Knapp.
Pattern Effect Workshop (Boulder, CO, May 2022).
Poster. [Download Poster]
Cooper, V., L. Roach, J. Thomson, S. Brenner, M. Smith, M. Meylan, and C. Bitz.
Antarctic Sea Ice and Southern Ocean Seminars, hosted by The University of Texas at San Antonio (April 2022).
Invited talk.
2021
Polar Meteorology and Oceanography Conference, American Meteorological Society (Polar AMS, June 2021).
Received Third Place OSPA (Outstanding Student Presentation Award). Poster.
[Download Poster]
2020
Cooper, V., L. Roach, J. Thomson, S. Brenner, M. Smith, and C. Bitz.
AGU Fall Meeting (December 2020).
Received OSPA (Outstanding Student Presentation Award).
